Hong Kong stocks set for worst month since February as China manufacturing extends slump, Fed to offer no early relief

Hong Kong stocks were headed for the worst performance in 11 months after China’s manufacturing shrank in January, underlining the lack of stimulus to spur recovery. The Federal Reserve is seen holding rates this week, offering no immediate relief to the city’s real estate market.

The Hang Seng Index fell 1 per cent to 15,544.90 at 10.55am local time, taking the decline for the month to 8.8 per cent, the worst since a 9.4 per cent slump in February last year. The Tech Index dropped 2.2 per cent and the Shanghai Composite Index retreated 0.8 per cent.

This month’s setback is also the local market’s worst start to a year since January 2016 when the Hang Seng Index lost 10 per cent.

Alibaba Group lost 1.8 per cent to HK$69.85 and e-commerce peer JD.com declined 2.2 per cent to HK$87.55, while Meituan slid 3.4 per cent to HK$63.20. WuXi Biologics sank 5.2 per cent to HK$21.20 and its affiliate Wuxi AppTec lost 0.5 per cent to HK$56. HSBC dropped 0.2 per cent to HK$61.20 after it was fined by a UK financial watchdog.
The official PMI manufacturing index stood at 49.2 in January versus 49 in December, the statistics bureau said on Wednesday, staying below the 50-point threshold since September. The reading also trailed consensus estimates for 49.3 among economists tracked by Bloomberg.

“Seasonality cannot explain the weakness of the manufacturing industry and policy support is still needed to boost effective demand,” said Bruce Pang, chief economist at Jones Lang LaSalle in Hong Kong. Weak consumer and producer prices may support the case for rate cuts in China, he added.

Citigroup, HSBC trim Hang Seng Index targets on earnings, China policy doubts

Beijing’s piecemeal support measures and the renewed geopolitical risks ahead of the US presidential elections this year, coupled with the shock from the liquidation of China Evergrande Group, are clouding China’s recovery outlook, analysts said.

Meanwhile, Sunny Optical, which makes camera lenses for iPhones, plunged 8.3 per cent to HK$49.50. It said net income for 2023 likely fell as much as 55 per cent because of falling product prices and shrinking margins amid weak demand and stiffer competition.

Tencent slipped 0.4 per cent to HK$272.80 after its founder Pony Ma Huateng told its fintech unit to scale back its digital-payment dominance and cede market share to banks. The stock has dropped more than 40 per cent over the past three years with a wipeout of US$340 billion in market values.

Hong Kong property prices hit lowest since January 2017 on high interest rates

Market also weakened as traders bet the Fed will hold rates unchanged at its first policy meeting of the year later today, based on 98 per cent odds priced in Fed fund futures. The decision will offer no immediate relief for Hong Kong’s real estate market, which has suffered from rate increases since March 2022.

Other major Asian markets were mixed. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.8 per cent and South Korea’s Kospi retreated 0.1 per cent, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 added 0.3 per cent.

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