Aukus fallout: Australia denies Japan poised to formally join security pact

“What is not proposed is to expand the membership of Aukus.”

Australia, Britain and US signed the Aukus agreement in September 2021 with the goal of helping Canberra deploy a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines by the 2030s. The pact is part of a pivot by Washington to strengthen its presence in the Asia-Pacific as China’s military ambitions expand.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said on Tuesday there are “no plans” to expand Aukus beyond its three founding members. Photo: AAP/dpa

The first stage, or “pillar”, aims to deliver nuclear-powered attack submarines to Australia. The second pillar is focused on sharing military technology and cooperation in areas including quantum computing, artificial intelligence and cyber technology.

Defence Minister Richard Marles said at the same press conference that Aukus is more a technology sharing relationship than a defence alliance.

A key area of interest for potential partners such as Japan and New Zealand is the so-called Pillar II, under which the Aukus partners will cooperate and share strategic hi-tech research. While the US has previously raised the possibility of involving other nations, expanding the pact faces hurdles from strict US restrictions on sharing technology and hesitation in other capitals.

Canberra worries adding a fourth country to the alliance would complicate and take attention away from the already difficult task of acquiring nuclear-powered submarines, according to a diplomatic source.

It’s fair to say that Japan has taken some of those steps, but not all of them

US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell, on Japan’s protection of IP and official secrets

A Japanese government official said on Monday discussions about formally joining the alliance would likely not be welcomed by Australia or Britain until they had concrete results from the pact.

“Talking about increasing the number of members when nothing’s been achieved with Aukus yet would only disrupt the framework of cooperation that is meant to be its basis,” said the official, who agreed to speak on condition of anonymity.

Even in the absence of political obstacles, officials and experts say Japan needs to introduce better cyber defences and stricter rules for guarding secrets before it can be incorporated in the pact.

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Aukus will ‘get done’, Biden tells Australia’s Albanese during visit to Washington

Aukus will ‘get done’, Biden tells Australia’s Albanese during visit to Washington

Earlier, Marles and his US and UK counterparts had issued a joint statement highlighting the potential for working with Tokyo.

“Recognising Japan’s strengths and its close bilateral defence partnerships with all three countries, we are considering cooperation with Japan on Aukus Pillar II advanced capability projects,” they said.

The statement came as Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visits Washington for a three-way leaders meeting with US President Joe Biden and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr. The Philippines has been at forefront of tensions with Beijing in territorial disputes in the South China Sea.

The summit on Wednesday is expected to address Japan’s possible future involvement in pillar two projects.

China ‘gravely concerned’ about reports Japan could join Aukus security pact

China has criticised the Aukus pact and said it could spark a regional arms race. A foreign ministry spokesperson said on Monday expanding Aukus would destabilise the region and Japan should act cautiously on defence issues given its history.

US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell, a key architect of Washington’s Indo-Pacific policy and a proponent of wider involvement in Pillar II of Aukus, said last week the US was encouraging Japan to do more to protect intellectual property and hold officials accountable for secrets.

“It’s fair to say that Japan has taken some of those steps, but not all of them,” Campbell said.

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