Jokowi’s son Kaesang for Jakarta governor? Indonesians fear president could bend rules to extend influence

“If the administrative requirements can be fulfilled, I think Kaesang is one of the figures that we can nominate [for the Jakarta gubernatorial election]. In my opinion, he is a very good figure,” William Aditya Sarana, chairman of the PSI faction in Jakarta’s parliament, said on March 27.

A 2016 law on regional elections requires that candidates for governor and deputy governor be at least 30 years old, while candidates for mayor and deputy mayor, as well as regent and deputy regent, must be at least 25. The Jakarta gubernatorial election is set for November 27, but Kaesang will only turn 30 in December.

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Indonesia’s 2024 election: will Indonesia vote in a political dynasty?

Indonesia’s 2024 election: will Indonesia vote in a political dynasty?

‘Reasonable suspicion’

On social media, PSI’s idea swiftly sparked controversy, as some fear that the law will be bent to clear a path for Kaesang’s candidacy.

Critics pointed to how Kaesang’s brother, 36-year-old Gibran Rakabuming Raka, was only able to contest this year’s national election as running mate to president-elect Prabowo Subianto after the constitutional court amended the age threshold rule for candidates.

In a controversial ruling, the court created an exception to the minimum age requirement of 40, allowing younger candidates to run as long as they had already been elected to another office. This paved the way for Gibran, the mayor of Solo, to join Prabowo’s campaign.

At that time, the court was led by Chief Justice Anwar Usman, Gibran’s uncle by marriage. The court’s ethics council subsequently found that Anwar had breached ethics by not recusing himself from the case. He has since been demoted and barred from weighing in on election disputes.
Prabowo Subianto (left) and running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka, the eldest son of Indonesian President Joko Widodo in Jakarta, Indonesia, on February 14. Photo: Reuters

“Looks like there are rotten intentions [here]. It’s clear that Kaesang is not old enough, PSI instead wants to nominate him as Governor of Jakarta. We need to stay tuned to see what kind of tricks they will use to make Kaesang a Jakarta gubernatorial candidate. Are they going to use the [constitutional court] too?” user @StefanAntonio__ asked on X, formerly known as Twitter.

Firman Noor, a political analyst with the Jakarta-based National Research and Innovation Agency, said Indonesians had “a reasonable suspicion” since February’s presidential election was “full of manipulation”.
Widodo has been accused of meddling in the February election as he tacitly supported the Prabowo-Gibran pair, who won with more than 58 per cent of the votes. Losing presidential candidates, Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo, are currently seeking a revote by filing appeals demanding the results be annulled since Gibran’s nomination process was deemed problematic.

“What he [Jokowi] has done so far is already very vulgar, for the sake of his son being elected vice-president. So if Kaesang runs [in the Jakarta gubernatorial election], Jokowi will definitely support him wholeheartedly,” Firman said, referring to Widodo by his popular nickname.

Indonesian President Joko Widodo has been accused of meddling in the February presidential election. Photo: Reuters

Arya Fernandes, political researcher at Centre for Strategic and International Studies Indonesia, said the public’s concerns “are justified” and that the possibility of the court changing the law to allow candidates under age 30 to contest the gubernatorial elections if they are leaders of a political party could not be ruled out.

“But there is a precedent to this. In 2019, a PSI cadre named Faldo Maldini filed a petition to the court to change the age requirement because he sought nomination in the West Sumatra gubernatorial election, even though he was under 30. The court denied the petition,” Arya said.

“So I think with this post-presidential election situation, the court will be really careful. If the court suddenly grants it now, despite the precedent, people will question it.”

Arya said Kaesang’s potential nomination underlined a political dynasty trend in the Widodo family, with other members reportedly expected to contest local elections.

Kaesang’s wife, Erina Gudono, could run in the Sleman regent election, while Widodo’s son-in-law and Medan mayor Bobby Nasution has signalled his intention to join the North Sumatra gubernatorial race.

Kaesang Pangarep, son of Indonesian President Joko Widodo, was known more as an entrepreneur before becoming PSI chairman: Photo YouTube/Kaesang

Analysts said it made sense for Widodo to support Kaesang to lead Jakarta as the city remained a strategic seat of power, despite his administration’s current effort in developing a new capital from scratch in Borneo.

“Jakarta is still the barometer of national politics. Historically, the governors of Jakarta would become contestants in the presidential election,” Arya said, citing Widodo and Anies as examples. Anies was Jakarta governor from 2017 to 2022.

However, Firman argued that Jakarta’s voters were “more rational and demanding” than voters in other regions, and that Kaesang was “not a marketable figure” in the capital given his lack of political experience.

“In general, the supporter base that believes the Jakarta governor should be somebody like Anies is still very strong, and Kaesang is not yet in that category,” he said.

In this year’s election, the Prosperous Justice Party, a nationalist Islamist party which supported Anies’ presidential and 2017 Jakarta gubernatorial bids, won in Jakarta with over 1 million votes, more than any other party.

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